After the General Elections last week,
the Western Cape will again be the only province not governed by the ANC. In
2009 there was a big outcry when Helen Zille as premier announced her executive
council. I thought I would speculate how a possible provincial cabinet with
Zille as Premier might look after the 2014 election.
Zille is on record for saying (at the
DA’s manifesto launch) that she’s someone who likes consistency but with Gerrit
van Rensburg and Robin Carlisle not returning to the provincial legislature and
considering the public outcry against her all male cabinet in 2009, it might be
a good opportunity to also make some changes.
Now whether or not MEC’s were performing
or not in their portfolios is a different debate, but members, I reckon will
likely return to portfolio’s they held before the election are:
Theuns Botha as
Health MEC
Bonginkosi Madikizela as Housing MEC
Alan Winde as Finance, Economic
development and Tourism MEC
I think dr. Ivan Meyer might move back
to the Social Development portfolio he had between 2009 and 2011, but
considering the farm protest and the party’s performance in rural areas in the
2014 election, Meyer (who is also the party’s provincial leader) might also be
considered as Agriculture MEC. Should the latter be the case, Albert Fritz
might return to the Social Development portfolio. I thought about other
possible candidates for Social Development but this portfolio had three MEC’s
in 5 years…
My first thoughts on Agriculture MEC, is
split between Basil Kivedo (Executive Mayor of Breedevallei municipality) and adv.
Gesie van Deventer (Executive Mayor of Drakenstein). Kivedo has the struggle
credentials and besides Meyer, is possibly the only other MPL that would be
able to speak keep the attention of everyone in the agriculture sector
(considering the farmworker protest). Van Deventer has knowledge of the
industry and she’s female (a big benefit), how will the sector however receive
her.
The other most “most contested”
portfolio is that of Community Safety. While Zille is on record for saying she
likes consistency, the DA also preaches fit for purpose with the most suitable
candidate being appointed. But Zille would also like to avoid the public outcry
of not having a female in her cabinet.
Mark Wiley might make a comeback as
Community Safety MEC, a portfolio he was responsible for back in 2000. Until 6
May he was the chairperson of the standing committee on Community Safety.
Another possible candidate is Lennit Max, who headed the portfolio in 2009, but
was sacked by Zille in 2010. Another suitable candidate as Community Safety MEC
is Debbie Schafer. Although new, she brings with her experience of the national
assembly and was until 6 May, DA shadow deputy minister of Justice and
Constitutional Development and a former DA shadow deputy minister of Police.
Should Wiley be the preferred candidate
for community safety, I feel Schafer might be considered for the Transport and
Public Works portfolio. She was one of the DA’s best performing MPs in the National
Assembly and not making it onto the party’s national or regional to national
list, was probably a surprise but also an indication that she will most
definitely be given a “senior” portfolio in the provincial legislature.
I can’t think of any other suitable
candidates for the Transport and Public Works portfolio, but if I had to
randomly pick any it would probably include Wiley or Rodney Lentit.
I have a strong feeling that Lentit will
be included in the cabinet and might even be given Sport and Cultural Affairs, if
he’s not considered Albert Fritz might get this ministry.
There is also the possibility that
Lentit be given the Education Ministry, but I doubt Donald Grant will be
shifted out of this portfolio.
I feel Anton Bredell is likely to return
to Local Government and Development Planning, but he might be given the
Transport and Publics portfolio and Schafer might score the Local Government
and Development Planning portfolio.
I decided to also play around with a few
other key positions in the legislature.
My first choice for Speaker of the
provincial legislature is Basil Kivedo. But Piet Pretorius, who briefly served
as Deputy Speaker might become Speaker and Kivedo his deputy. Should Kivedo be
given a ministry, Nomafrench Mbombo might be given the deputy speaker
position.
I suspect that Anroux Marais might be the new Chief Whip, but should
they not become part of the executive council Schafer and Kivedo (in that
order) will also be strong contenders.
Should she not be the Chief Whip, Marais will probably be Caucus Chair
again. Kivedo and Schafer would also be good candidates for Caucus Chair, but
so would Pretorius and even Sharna Fernandez.
So here is my three list:
Helen Zille: Premier
Ivan Meyer: Social Development
Bonginkosi Madikizela: Human Settlements
Theuns Botha: Health
Gesie van Deventer: Agriculture
Anton Bredell: Local Government & Development Planning or Transport & Public Works
Rodney Lentit: Sport & Cultural Affairs or Transport & Public Works
Debbie Schafer: Community Safety or Transport & Public Works
Basil Kivedo: Speaker or Agriculture or Caucus Chair
Anroux Marais: Chief Whip or Caucus Chair
Mark Wiley: Transport & Public Works or Community Safety
Alan Winde: Finance, Economic Development & Tourism
Donald Grant: Education
Piet Pretorius: Deputy Speaker or Speaker
Sharna Fernandez: Caucus Chair