Earl September

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I write what ever comes to mind. Real is me and my views/opinion. Be Yourself, be REAL Open-minded young South African who loves to follow South African politics and social issues. I try not to limit myself as I'm capable of more than where I'm now.
Showing posts with label Drakenstein. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Drakenstein. Show all posts

Sunday, 5 November 2017

2019: status quo vs. change to unite

 On Monday 6 November 2017 the governing party in the second largest municipality – and thus biggest constituency – in the province elects a new leadership.
This internal election is the first since the 2016 local government election. Following that election the party not only became the first political party to win a consecutive local government election in Drakenstein, but also increased their vote with nearly 10%.  
In 2016 the DA increased their support in the Paarl East – coloured – area, especially Chicago, Amstelhof, Nederburg, Denneburg. The DA also took two ANC stronghold wards, Gouda and Simondium with 60 and 62% respectively. It however did not show any major increase in so-called “white-areas”. In Wellington the DA’s support took a dip in most of the wards.

Above statistics are important if one considers the candidates contesting the internal election. Both candidates for chairperson are from the Paarl-East area, while those standing for deputy are from Wellington and Northern-Paarl. Two of the candidates vying for secretary are from Mbekweni and the other from Paarl-East. The treasurer position is the only uncontested position and incumbent, Gert Combrink – who also happens to be the DA West Region Treasurer – will return for another term.

There appears to only be one slate, with all other candidates campaigning as individuals. Considering the 2016 outcome and party’s targets for 2019, the expectation is that the party would focus at having a more diverse team on local level, representing all the areas of the Constituency. For some time now the DA’s been trying to make inroads in Mbekweni. Having two of three candidates for a position from the area will most likely split the votes from Mbekweni. Two of the three standing for secretary are former activist and first time councillors and the third a former ANC Councillor, with more political experience than her competitors. My expectation from any secretary is also to atleast be able to spell or use spell-checker. From her campaign post though it would appear as if this is a weakness of one of the candidates – she even managed to get the names and titles wrong of those on her slate.

The competition for deputy chairperson is between a “veteran” and an activist. What delegates might want to consider is where the two candidates campaigned during the 2016 local elections, the DA’s support dropped in the area the one campaigned and increased in the area the other one campaigned. Both seem committed to the cause; just one is on a slate and the other not. And that will either turnout to be good or bad.

Perhaps important to remind oneself the DA believes in freedom, fairness and opportunity. It also preaches separation of party and state. Some examples are during Helen Zille’s term as party leader in Parliament Sandra Botha, Athol Trollip, Lindiwe Mazibuko and Mmusi Maimane occupied the role of Parliamentary Leader (Leader of the Official Opposition).
In the Western Cape with Helen Zille leading the provincial government, Theuns Botha, Ivan Meyer, Patricia de Lille and Bonginkosi Madikizela was party leader.
In the City of Cape Town Helen Zille, Dan Plato and Patricia de Lille led the local government, while Grant Pascoe, Shaun August and now Grant Twigg led the party in the metro.

The race for Chairperson is always interesting, and it becomes even more interesting when one of the candidates is a woman. 
Note despite Helen Zille’s successful tenure as party leader, the DA has not exactly broken the glass ceiling for woman leaders in the party. 
Delegates will have to vote between incumbent Chairperson, Conrad Poole, and outgoing Secretary, Wendy Philander.

I have the privilege to have gotten to known both candidates – both caring individuals, who want to make the world better. Both I gotten to know before they became councillors, ironically ward councillors. I saw the election of Conrad during a by-election and Wendy in 2011. During their term as ward councillors both worked hard and people of their wards still hold them in high regard – because both continue to work hard for the people they serve.

Both candidates have used each opportunity that crossed their path.
Wendy, current DA Women’s Network Chairperson, was also part of a Swedish exchange program for woman in local government – something I still think Drakenstein should, but they not, use to their advantage. She served one term on the executive mayoral committee, in the key portfolio of housing.
Conrad was recently elected as DA West Region Deputy Chairman and on the provincial executive as additional member. He’s in his third term as councillor and current executive mayor.

Conrad’s campaign is based on the success of the party under his leadership. The party grew from receiving 32% of the vote in 2006 to 66% in 2016, not without teething problems.
Wendy’s campaign is based on the party’s mission of Freedom, Fairness & Opportunity, creating a platform to develop the next generation, making progress together.

Doing research for this blog it became evident that the party is very much divided. This week DA founder Helen Suzman would have celebrated her centenary. Will Drakenstein’s gift to her be that the status quo is enough to carry the party to 2019 or will the party heading towards 2019, change; unite and develop to increase its support?

Sunday, 7 August 2016

Drakenstein’s surprises and disappointments

#2016MunicipalElections had some surprises and disappointments. The Democratic Alliance not only became the first political party to win a consecutive local government election in Drakenstein, but also increased their vote with nearly 10%. It looks like the DA is copying part of its City of Cape Town performance in the second biggest municipality in the Western Cape.

While the DA increased their support in the Paarl East – coloured – area, especially Chicago, Amstelhof, Nederburg, Denneburg. It did not show any major increase in so-called “white-areas”. In Wellington the DA’s support took a dip in most of the wards. This could be due to the support the EFF, PDM, Freedom Front Plus, Federation of Democrats, ACDP and ICOSA received.  Smaller parties all increased their vote from 2011. Most notably is the PDM who gaining 1.01% from 2011’s 0.68%. ACDP gained 0.38% and the FF+ gained 0.35%.

The ANC managed to only get 23.59% of the vote. That is 7.23% less than the 30.83% in 2011 and will send the once governing party to the drawing board. The ANC’s support in the wards it managed to hold onto also took a dip of between 4 and 6%.
Another notable thing from the election is that former ANC councillor, Linda Landu – who defected from the ANC to the DA, months before the election – could not win Ward 12 as her new party might have hoped for. She only managed to get 4.2%, would thus be interesting to see with what Mayco position she would be rewarded.

There were atleast three surprises in this election in Drakenstein. One of them being the DA not only taking the Gouda ward from the ANC with more than 10%, but increasing their support to just under 50%.

The DA also took control of another former ANC stronghold, the Simondium ward, with 62.32% - 15.17% more than the ANC’s 47.15% in 2011. This could be due to unhappiness by residents in the ward with the former councillor. What makes the win significant though is that the DA candidate is not even from the area.

Smaller parties showed they should not be underestimated in local government election. The Progressive People’s Movement took control of an ANC stronghold. The PDM won the ward but with less than 50% only getting 41.67%. What makes it surprising is that the ANC lost more than double its support, falling from 85.53% in 2011 to 40.83% in this election.

One of the other surprises is that the EFF did not perform as well as many might have hoped it would. This could indicate that while some agree with some of the things the revolutionary movement is advocating for, its performance on the Parliamentary floor was not good enough.
While the EFF gathered quite support in coloured areas, across Drakenstein, it managed to make some good inroads in Mbekweni - possibly contributing to the drop in the ANC support.


As the fourth Drakenstein municipal council constitutes the voice of the voters will be represented in council by eight political parties. This is the most political party representation since the amalgamation in 2000 of the council.

Friday, 5 August 2016

Western Cape Municipal Results


Seats won by parties in each Western Cape Municipal Council following #2016MunicipalElections

Breedevalley: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
22
African National Congress (ANC)
12
Breedevalley Onafhanklik (BO)
4
Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF)
1
People’s Democratic Movement (PDM)
1
Freedom Front Plus (FF+)
1

Drakenstein: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
43
African National Congress (ANC)
15
Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF)
2
People’s Democratic Movement (PDM)
1
African Christian Democratic Party (ACDP)
1
Federation of Democrats
1
Independent Civic Org. of SA (ICOSA)
1
Freedom Front Plus (FF+)
1

Langeberg: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
12
African National Congress (ANC)
6
People’s Democratic Movement (PDM)
1

Stellenbosch: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
30
African National Congress (ANC)
8
Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF)
2
African Christian Democratic Party (ACDP)
1
People’s Democratic Movement (PDM)
1
DNCA
1

Witzenberg: hung-council
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
11
African National Congress (ANC)
8
Witzenberg Aksie (WA)
1
Independent Civic Org. of SA (ICOSA)
1
Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF)
1
Congress of the People (Cope)
1

George: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
29
African National Congress (ANC)
16
Plaaslike Besorgde Inwoners (PBI)
2
Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF)
1
Independent Civic Org. of SA (ICOSA)
1
Freedom Front Plus (FF+)
1
African Christian Democratic Party (ACDP)
1
African Independent Congress (AIC)
1
South Africa Civics (SAC)


Knysna: hung council
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
10
African National Congress (ANC)
7
Congress of the People (Cope)
1
Knysna Unity Congress (K.U.C)
1
African Christian Democratic Party (ACDP)
1

Mossel Bay: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
17
African National Congress (ANC)
7
Independent Civic Org. of SA (ICOSA)
1
Freedom Front Plus (FF+)
1
African Christian Democratic Party (ACDP)
1

Oudsthoorn: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
14
African National Congress (ANC)
7
Independent Civic Org. of SA (ICOSA)
2
SA Religious Civic Organisation (SARCO)
1
Economic Freedom Fighters
1

Laingsburg: hung council
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
3
African National Congress (ANC)
3
Karoo Ontwikkelings Party (KOP)
1
  
Beaufort West: hung council
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
6
African National Congress (ANC)
6
Karoo Democratic Force (KDF)
1

Hessequa: hung-council
Party
Seats
African National Congress (ANC)
8
Democratic Alliance (DA)
8
Freedom Front Plus (FF+)
1

Kannaland: hung-council
Party
Seats
Independent Civic Org. of SA (ICOSA)
3
Democratic Alliance (DA)
2
African National Congress (ANC)
2

Prince Albert: hung council
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
3
Karoo Gemeenskap Party (KGP)
2
African National Congress (ANC)
2

Bitou: hung council
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
6
African National Congress (ANC)
6
Active United Front (AUF)
1

Cape Agulhas: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
6
African National Congress (ANC)
3
Dienslewerings Party
1

Overstrand: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
16
African National Congress (ANC)
8
Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF)
1

Swellendam: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
6
African National Congress (ANC)
5

Theewaterskloof: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
14
African National Congress (ANC)
10
UFEC
1
Economic Freedom Fighters
1
Independent Civic Org. of SA (ICOSA)
1

Bergriver: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
9
African National Congress (ANC)
4

Cederberg: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
6
African National Congress (ANC)
4
Alliance of Democratic Chance (ADC)
1

Matzikama: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
8
African National Congress (ANC)
5
UD
1
Economic Freedom Fighters
1

Saldanha Bay: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
17
African National Congress (ANC)
8
Economic Freedom Fighters
1
SRA-SIA
1

Swartland: DA majority
Party
Seats
Democratic Alliance (DA)
16
African National Congress (ANC)
6
Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF)
1

  •  Hung-councils are where no majority received an outright majority to govern comfortably.